Tag Archives: realtime

May 28 2012

Forex EUR-USD Master Time Factor Forecast UPDATE

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

Lets start this update with the last picture shown in the original forecast posting. The first picture below shows the forecast chart from the original Forex EURUSD forecast. This is a daily chart and it shows my Master Time Factor forecast for the EURUSD covering the time period April 3, 2012 to June 30, 2012.  The forecast shows the EURUSD currency pair curving downward. The movement in this forecast time period should form several swings downward toward 1.260.

T4_13

Click Here To Enlarge


The next chart is our first update chart which goes up to Friday May 25, 2012. chart. I have drawn a red box around the time period that has unfolded since the forecast was made. The EURUSD is the green and blue candle stick bars. You can see the daily price bars for the EURUSD have followed the forecast lines down. The general curve of the market has followed the general curve of the Master Time factor forecast lines. This is one of the most accurate forecasts for the EURUSD that was posted for the pubic that you will find anywhere. Now lets look at that is coming next.

T4b_update1

Click Here


The final chart below is the same chart but now I have changed the EURUSD price bars to red OHLC bars to make them a little easier to see. On this chart I have drawn a red box around the remainder of this forecast. This time period is May 29 to June 30, 2012. The time of this update is May 28, 2012. Look at the forecast lines inside the box marking the time period. The forecast is as following. (1)A bottom should form in late May or Early June. Then (2) the EURUSD should form a choppy sideways base through most of June. Finally (3) a move up should occur toward the end of June. Some of the forecast lines used to make this forecast run out toward the end of June. This means I will be making a new Master Time Factor forecast for EURUSD toward the end of June. The new forecast should cover 3 month just as this forecast did. This forecast was made using the software Forecasting Made Easy and can be made by anyone using the Master Time Factor chart in this software.

T4b_update3

Click To Enlarge

End

May 16 2012

The Corn Market and Venus Saturn Aspects

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

Back in 1995 I published the book Gann’s Scientific Methods Unveiled: Volume 1. In this book I explained how W.D. Gann believed that certain planet combinations were important in certain markets. In this book I showed how I believe W.D. Gann used the Venus Saturn planet aspects in the corn market. Basically every market has a planet or planet combination that will influence the market. This means that the planet movements will have a higher than normal correlation to the turning points and the trends in a market. W.D. Gann found the relationship between corn and Venus Saturn in the 1930s and possibly even earlier. I wrote about this relationship in 1995. Lets take a current look at the Venus Saturn aspects and see if they still have any correlation to the corn market.

The picture below is the trading-day (not calendar days) chart for the nearby corn contract going back almost a year. On this chart I have placed the major aspects for Venus and Saturn. These are the Conjunction, Square, Trine and Opposition aspects. There were five aspects over this time period. I have labeled these 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. Aspect 1 is a square. On the day of this aspect, the corn market made a large range day upward. The up move continues for another month and a half. Aspect #2 is a conjunction. This aspect came within a few days of significant market bottom. The third aspect is a square. This aspect was right on top a market bottom that started an up swing. The 4th aspect was a trine and saw the corn market fall a long two days before the aspect occurred and then move sideways for a few more days. The bottom was made two days after this aspect. The 5th and final aspect was an opposition. This final aspect occurred near a small top of no real significance.

So over the past ten months, four out of the five Venus Saturn aspects identified very good change in trend dates in the corn market. After almost 80 years this relationship found by W.D. Gann is working in the corn market. Remember the issue is the relationship between Venus and Saturn and corn. This relationship is more than just aspects. You can also use these planets to draw planet lines to find support and resistance prices which will also work very well in the corn market.

CornAspects

End

May 15 2012

Advanced Master Time Factor and Microsoft

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

This blog posting was originally posted here as Tutorial #12 for our software Forecasting Made Easy

Let me start this tutorial by explaining the difference between the Master Time Factor and the Advanced Master Time Factor.

W.D. Gann’s forecasting method, the Master Time Factor (MTF) used historical cycles to find which cycle is repeating in todays market. W.D. Gann only used historical cycles that were the same time frame as the market he was looking to forecast. So W.D. Gann studied historical daily charts to forecast the daily chart and historical monthly charts to forecast the monthly chart and so on.

The Advanced Master Time Factor (AMTF) in our software Forecasting Made Easy allows you to mix and match time frames when doing historical research. This means you may want to forecast the daily chart and can overlay historical data that is a 5 minute chart, 60 minute chart or a monthly chart. You can mix and match historical data in any time frame combination allowing you to do research that no other software allows. Now lets look at the chart below.

Chart 1)

The chart below is one of the teaching charts I created back in February to show what Forecasting Made Easy can do. The orange bars are the daily chart for Microsoft MSFT. This is the primary data set that we want to forecast. With Forecasting Made Easy you can overlay almost any time frame combination onto  this daily chart. What I did was overlay 9 historical data sets on this chart. These were 60 minute data, covering one month each. This means that 9 historical data sets of 60 minute data covering one month were laid on top the daily chart for MSFT. I then proceeded to look for a best fit pattern match. The picture below shows the daily Microsoft chart with the two 60 minute price lines that represent the best fit.

AdvancedMTF_MSFTa_75

1Forecast MSFT

Chart 2)

I am always asked for advice on how to pick the best fit line. The answer is that you want to see the historical data form several turning points that line up with the data you want to forecast. In the picture below, I have added the labels A, B, C, D, E, F and G which mark tops and bottoms in the daily MSFT chart and the blue line which is the 60 minute data for the month November 2011. This blue line is the best fit line. When I make a forecast, I never use just one line. I always use two or three close-fit lines. The green line on the picture below is the 60 minute chart line for the month of October 2011.  I selected this line because it started at a base at point G and then moved up following the curve of the MSFT price data and it also seemed to follow the blue best fit line. These two lines were used to teach how different time frames could be used to forecast the daily chart using the Advanced Master Time Factor.

AdvancedMTF_MSFTb_75

2Forecast MSFt

Chart 3)

The final chart below is an update to the two charts above. You can see that starting from February 1, 2012 to May 15, 2012 the daily chart of Microsoft followed the forecast curve at points 1, 2, 3 and 4. The blue best fit line has come to an end but the close-fit green line is still tracking well with daily Microsoft. This forecast curve shows there should be a top in daily MSFT in late May 2012 and then a bottom in mid June 2012.  We will try to do another follow up in late June to see what happened. These types of accurate forecast are extremely common using this forecasting method.

AdvancedMTF_MSFTc_75

3Forecast MSFT

End

May 1 2012

Master Time Factor Forecast For Silver

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

I have just uploaded a new tutorial that shows how to use Forecasting Made Easy to make a W.D. Gann style forecast using the Master Time Factor. Let’s take a moment and talk about what the name Master Time Factor means. W.D. Gann used the name Master Time Factor to refer to the historical cycle that is repeating in the current markets. For example if in the current market the historical cycles from 2003 are repeating, then we could say, 2003 is the Master Time Factor for the current market. W.D. Gann understood that at any moment the market was repeating a historical cycle. The question is which historical cycle is the current market repeating? In this tutorial I am going to try and find the Master Time Factor for 2012 silver. To read this tutorial click the link below.

Click Here
http://www.forecastingmadeeasy.com/Tutorial011.html

End

May 1 2012

Master Time Factor Forecast For Forex EUR_USD

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

I have just posted a new tutorial for using the Master Time Factor on the Forecasting Made Easy web site. This tutorial uses daily data for the Forex currency pair EURUSD. In this tutorial I am going to show you how to use Forecasting Made Easy to make a W.D. Gann style forecast using the Master Time Factor. What does the name  “Master Time Factor” mean? W.D. Gann used the name Master Time Factor to refer a the historical cycle that repeated in the current markets. For example if the current market is repeating the cycle from 1993, then we could say, 1993 is the Master Time Factor for the current market. W.D. Gann understood that at any moment the market was repeating a historical cycle. The question is which historical cycle is the current market repeating? In this tutorial I am going to try and find the Master Time Factor for EURUSD.  To read this tutorial click the link below.

Click Here
http://www.forecastingmadeeasy.com/Tutorial010.html

End

Apr 18 2012

Master Time Factor forecast for which markets?

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

 We have had a good response to the Forecasting Made Easy version that now reads Metastock data. The Master Time Factor chart type in this program has been gaining steady interest. In May we will be releasing the FME version that can read ASCII text files. One unexpected thing that has happened since the release of the Master Time Factor technique, is that traders have been asking for our forecasts for specific markets. Rather than learning the Master Time Factor forecasting method and making their own forecasts, they would like to see our forecasts. Normally we make Master Time Factor forecast as tutorials for the FME software users to read and follow the described steps to learn how to make their own forecasts. There are a huge number of markets we can choose from to make a Master Time Factor tutorial. It would help us if you can vote in the poll below are let us know your area of interest. Feel free to add items in the “Other” box including international items as we have access to just about every symbol here at Mikula Forecasting.

End

Mar 23 2012

New Tutorial for the Master Time Factor and the S&P 500 mini

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

NEW TUTORIAL: If you own Forecasting Made Easy or you are using the free trial, open the help file and look at the section titled “Chart – Master Time Factor”. In this section of the help file, you will see a new tutorial named, “Tutorial 3: MTF S&P 500 Mini March 23″.  This tutorial discusses forecasting the S&P 500 mini contract on the 30 minute time frame. The Master Time factor can be used to forecast the next day’s price action on intraday charts so we will be adding new tutorials to the help file discussing forecasting intraday charts especial the S&P 500 mini.

New Tutorial

New Tutorial

End

Jan 9 2012

Forecasting Corn

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

The picture below shows the daily corn chart using the symbol ZC. On this chart I have added the delta indicator. This indicator is based on the book Delta Phenomenon. The MarketWarrior software does not calculate the Delta count; it has a delta layout designer which allows users to work out their own count. Working out a Delta count usually takes 30 to 60 minutes.

The picture below shows my personal delta count that I developed for the corn market. This count has several high probability turning points. One of the high probability count numbers is #6. The #6 point is the next point that will occur. The #5 point just occurred on the first trading day of 2012 and the #6 point will occur in late January. We will be watching the corn market as it approaches this time period.

20120111_post601.png

Click To Enlarge

End

Jan 7 2012

Forecasting Daily S&P500 Index with Jupiter and Saturn Aspect

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

Here is the latest update for our most accurate forecasting method for the daily S&P500 index.

This is the custom Jupiter Saturn aspect. I will not review all the details of the custom aspect because we have posted the details before. You can read the previous posts discussing this method to learn more. The chart below shows the daily S&P500 and the custom Jupiter / Saturn aspect applied to the chart. This aspect forecasts a turning point approximately every 4.5 months. These forecast turning points usually turn out to be bottoms. This forecasting method has proven to be so accurate that traders who own MarketWarrior are reporting to us that they are using these forecast dates to add money to their retirement accounts. These forecast dates almost always allow MarketWarrior owners an opportunity to buy into a market bottom for their long-term buy and hold accounts.

On the chart below you can see the forecast bottoms at points A and B. If you own MarketWarrior you can check the next Jupiter Saturn aspect date. If you do not have the custom aspect indicator setup in your version of MarketWarrior email us and we will send you the indicator settings.

20120108_post598.png

Click To Enlarge

End

Jan 7 2012

Silver Forecast Follow Up

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

This post is a follow-up to the silver forecast on January 5, 2012, which forecast the 60 minute silver chart for January 6, 2012 silver.

The first chart below shows the 60 minute chart covering the forecast period of January 6, 2012. On this chart I have added a black zig-zag arrow. This arrow is the same arrow that was shown on the forecast in the January 5, 2012 post. You can see the forecast arrow shows that the trend for January 6, 2012 was forecast as down.

This forecast was made using the MarketWarrior indicator Swing Projector which updates each time a new bar completes. Next we will look at the Swing Projector indicator at the end of January 6, 2012.

The second chart below shows the Swing Projector at the end of Friday January 6, 2012. You can see the indicator now forecasts a bottom identified by the Blue triangle with the capital B inside. Then a rally to the Blue triangle with the T inside. The exact time of this bottom – top sequence will be slightly different from what you see in the second picture because the Silver symbol YI trades on Sunday. This will cause the forecast to make an adjustment when trading starts Sunday night.

20120114_post604a.png

Click To Enlarge

20120114_post604b.png

Click To Enlarge

End